Quick Valuation Methodology
This calculator is a calibrator, not an appraisal. It uses mainstream private-market heuristics to produce a directional enterprise value (EV) range from a few non-sensitive inputs in ~60–90 seconds.
Calculator Logic
ARR Path (Recurring models)
- Start with a baseline revenue multiple ≈ 2.5×.
- Adjust for EBITDA margin (efficiency premium) and growth trend (growing > stable > declining).
- Clamp to a pragmatic private range 1.5×–6.0× ARR to avoid unrealistic outputs.
EV ≈ ARR × Adjusted_Multiple Adjusted_Multiple = clamp( 2.5 + f(margin) + g(growth) , 1.5 , 6.0 )
EBITDA Path (Non-SaaS SMBs)
- Derive EBITDA from revenue via your selected margin band.
- Apply an EBITDA multiple that varies with margin and growth, clamped around 2.5×–7.5×.
EV ≈ EBITDA × Adjusted_Multiple Adjusted_Multiple = clamp( base + f(margin) + g(growth) , 2.5 , 7.5 )
Not an offer. Outputs are directional only and exclude cash/debt, taxes, and deal-specific adjustments.
Why These Ranges?
Private SaaS revenue multiples typically cluster below public comps. Using a cap near ~6× ARR keeps first-pass outputs grounded. For non-SaaS SMBs, EV/EBITDA in the low-to-mid single digits is a common shorthand for small private transactions across sectors; the clamp of ~2.5×–7.5× reflects that spread.
Why Margin & Growth Move the Number
-
Efficiency premium.
Higher EBITDA margins (and “Rule of X/40” style efficiency) generally command higher revenue or EBITDA multiples.
-
Growth premium.
Growing companies price above stable; declining trends earn a discount. Retention and revenue quality amplify these effects.
In the quick tool, “Growing” adds a modest bump; “Declining” trims it. Margin bands apply a simple linear nudge—just enough to differentiate outcomes without slowing completion.
Sources that Informed the Heuristics
- Private SaaS valuation studies indicating private revenue multiples ~mid-single-digits with wide dispersion by growth/quality.
- Public cloud benchmarks (efficiency metrics like Rule of 40/“Rule of X”) showing valuation premia for efficient growth.
- Operator/financial surveys on growth and retention bands (e.g., GRR/NRR near ~90%/~100% medians across cycles).
- Corporate-finance conventions (EV/EBITDA by sector) for non-SaaS SMBs to set practical clamps and sanity checks.
This page keeps sources high-level for clarity. In your “Research & Insights” area, you can link to specific whitepapers or data decks that underpin these heuristics.
What the Quick Tool Ignores (by design)
- Balance-sheet effects. Cash/debt, working capital adjustments, taxes.
- Granular revenue quality. Cohort NRR by segment, gross margin mix, revenue recognition nuances.
- Concentration risk. Top-customer exposure, contract terms, churn shape.
- Macro/credit conditions. Rate environment at LOI/close, lender appetite.
These belong in diligence and the investment model—not in a 60–90 second pre-intake.
How to Tighten the Estimate (Pro Mode)
- Net Dollar Retention band (<95%, 95–105%, >105%) → adjusts ARR multiple.
- CAC Payback band (<12, 12–24, >24 months) → trims/bumps multiple.
- Customer concentration (Top-3 % of revenue) → risk haircut.
- Cash/Debt bridge → convert EV to equity value.
Add these only if they don’t hurt completion. Default to the quick 3-step flow; reveal “Pro Mode” as an optional advanced panel.
Bottom Line
The tool mirrors mainstream shortcuts (ARR or EBITDA multiples), gently tilted by efficiency and growth, and clamped to conservative private-market ranges. It’s designed to build trust, set expectations, and start a deeper discussion—not to replace valuation work in diligence.